Friday, October 19, 2012

Edition 2 (Week 7): Mirror, Mirror on the wall...

Mirror, mirror on the wall...



mirrormirror (20K)


Who is the fairest chapter of them all?


Produced by: Roster Wars Football Reference Inc.

In this column we will examine the fortunes of each of the six RW chapters to demonstrate which is the chapter above all others. Every few weeks (Lance that means 3...) we will take a look at the key player movements, injuries etc. as well as the statistical performance of each chapter and declare a fairest chapter of them all!

Recap: last column's conclusions

RW has a case of "the have's and the have nots".
Chapters 2,3 & 5 flying high while Chapter 1 sucking
Can 3rd chapter keep it up?

Changing faces: Key player movement etc.

1st Chapter: Mendy, Clemons in. VJax out

2nd Chapter: Cook, VJax, Jennings, Ryans in. Tannehill, Mendy, Floyd, Gates, Garcon out

3rd Chapter: Floyd, Gates, Garcon, Tannehill in. Cook, Jennings, Ryans, Clemons out

4th Chapter: Mario, S Nicholas in. Woodson, Ponder out

5th Chapter: Britt, Wallace, Bennett, Ponder, Harvin in. Forte, Wright, H Miller, A Brown out

6th Chapter: Woodson, A Brown, Forte, Wright, H Miller in. Harvin, Britt, Wallace, Bennett out

Chapter 4 continues to show little appetite for big moves while Chapter 3 showing sizable appetite for injury prone / injured guys surprised Only time will tell whether the moves between chapters 5 & 6 results in a true change of fortunes or merely amounts to moving the deck chairs around...


Deeper reflection: what do the numbers say

Ranking by PF


5th Chapter 7,709
2nd Chapter 7,569
3rd Chapter 7,543
6th Chapter 7,477
4th Chapter 7,332
1st Chapter 7,270

5th Chapter making a move at the expense of the 3rd. Everyone else holding their spots.

Ranking by All Play record


5th Chapter 56%
2nd Chapter 54%
6th Chapter 51%
3rd Chapter 49%
4th Chapter 47%
1st Chapter 43%

Asked and answered, no the 3rd Chapter cannot keep it up slipping all the way down to 4th...

Examining most 330 or more point performances


1st Chapter 6
2nd Chapter 11
3rd Chapter 7
4th Chapter 5
5th Chapter 11
6th Chapter 7

Since this is a weekly game here we get to see whether its consistency and depth or ceiling thats holding back some of the chapters, for example chapter 2 has similar PF to chapter 6 but four more big performances. C'mon chapter 3, Eagles can only put up 1 of these a week you know...

Examining fewest 260 or less point performances


1st Chapter 6
2nd Chapter 2
3rd Chapter 1
4th Chapter 2
5th Chapter 2
6th Chapter 0

Can a leopard change its spots? Not if its Chapter 1 when it come's to putting up the stinkers...
How long can Chapter 6 hold out here - there only badge of honor in this review...

Bottom line it for me

Now I think's it pretty clear the haves are Chapters 2 & 5 and.... the damn Eagles (single hand-idly propping up their chapter)
Congratulations to Chapter 5 for making the biggest move since last time. Chapter 1 can take some small solace in the fact that their AP record did actually go up, even though not enough to overtake anyone.
May the force be with you all

Still working with the exact format (incl aesthetics) and elements in this one so suggestions welcome!



Reference: for those that haven't memorized the Chapters yet

RW chapters (80K)

If The Playoffs Started This Week

DASTARDLY DOZEN
DIVISION WINNER 1ST CHAPTER Dragons 5-1 (1932.64)

DIVISION WINNER 2ND CHAPTER Headhunters 4-2 (1972.82)

DIVISION WINNER 3RD CHAPTER Eagles 6-0 (2169.62)

BEST RECORD Florida 4-2 (1877.02)

2ND BEST RECORD Eternals 4-2 (1784.90)

All Play Atlanta 95-43

SEEDING
#1 Eagles
#2 Dragons
#3 Headhunters
#4 Florida
#5 Eternals
#6 Atlanta




TERRIBLE TWELVE

DIVISION WINNER 4TH CHAPTER Destroyers 4-2 (1993.00)

DIVISION WINNER 5TH CHAPTER Steelcats 5-1 (2061.44)

DIVISION WINNER 6TH CHAPTER Jersey 4-2 (1910.18)

BEST RECORD Demons 5-1 (1846.22)

2ND BEST RECORD Golddiggers 3-3 (1873.12)

All Play Empire 104-33

SEEDING
#1 Steelcats
#2 Demons
#3 Destroyers
#4 Jersey
#5 Golddiggers
#6 Empire


Hope this is all correct

WEEK 7: MONSTER MATCHUP

WEEK 7 MONSTER MATCHUP
BY DR. PIGSKINSTEIN



WEEK 7 MONSTER MATCHUP: ATLANTA AFRICANS VS MINNESOTA ETERNALS



Another week, another wrong Monster Matchup, another loss for the Pigskins. Life is hard in the life of Dr. Pigskinstein. Unfortunately my doctor’s license is under review- apparently the fact that it was drawn in crayon threw off the scanners. Oh well I’ve bulked up on my various medications so I should be good to last the winter. Apparently I’m perfectly average at picking these, as we are now 3-3 on the season. Last week was at least well chosen, as it came down to a 3 point victory for my prediction to be upset. This week we will be returning to analyzing the Dastardly Dozen. This week’s matchup focuses on the showdown between the 3-3 Atlanta Africans and the 4-2 Minnesota Eternals.

The strongest part of the Eternals’ team is their record. Although they are over .500, they are averaging under 300 points a week, and have had 100 points more scored against them over the course of the season than they’ve scored. The Africans are the exact opposite, sitting at .500, but 4th in the power rankings and 2nd in points scored for their conference. However, Atlanta is missing several of his studs this week due to bye weeks. He will be without Matt Ryan, Jamaal Charles, and his highest scoring player at most of his defensive positions. However, we feel that this actually will lead to this being a very close matchup.

The Eternals are sending out a standard lineup of 2 quarterbacks, 2 runningbacks, 5 wide receivers, a tight end, and a kicker. The Africans’ offense is similar, with 2 quarterbacks, 3 running backs, 4 receivers, a tight end and a kicker. Defensively, Minnesota is lining up with a defensive tackle, a defensive end, 5 linebackers, 3 cornberbacks and a sefty. The Africans will counter with more pressure in the trenches, with 2 tackles, 2 defensive ends, 4 linebackers, 2 corner backs, and a safety.

At quarterback, neither team is particularly strong. We see them ending up relatively even in production. Running back production should come down to the health of Bradshaw’s feet, which is never a good sign. If he was healthy, we would give the edge to Minnesota, but with Coughlin claiming that he will be spelling Bradshaw more this week, we see Atlanta having the edge simply due to numbers. Receiver also favors the Africans, due to QB health. With Roethlisberger and Kolb hurting, Brown and Roberts drop in value this week. At TE, neither TE has a great matchup, but we feel Finley will have his once a month outing where he remembers how to play football.

Defensively, this appears to be an instance of quantity over quality. The Africans are missing Dumervil, Nicholas, Ryans, Bigby and Weddle on byes this week. So positionally, we see the team with more players at each position simply taking the edge. On the D-line, Ian has 4 starters to Andy’s 2, and between linebackers and corner backs, Andy is sending out 8 to Ian’s 6. We predict the Eternals to take the defensive numbers as a whole. However, it will not be enough to cover the advantage that the Africans will take offensively. We see the final score with both teams scoring somewhere between 300 and 320, but the Africans taking the edge.

Good luck to everyone not playing the Pigskins this week!

WEEK 7: Magic 8 Ball Report

WEEK 7 Magic 8 Ball Report

We all must be thinking the same thing. Last week, I decided that for this weeks article I would break down the playoff race since we are officially half way through our FF regular season. Well, I get up this morning and 2 guys have already posted in the forum just such a thing. Nice job boys. Some of the league are thinking they have met their end for the year. Don't! It is not hard to rattle off 6 in a row and squeak your way into the playoffs............LOL NOT!!!!!!! Don't kid yourselves. The 1-5 teams need to think about spoiling and what they are going to do with their Christmas.....Nuff of that.....8 BALL!!!!!! You're up.

Legends (2-4) v Gadabouts (1-5)

According to the Legends' shot call a couple of weeks ago, he just lost his last game. His call has him winning the next 6 in a row. Luckily for him, he picked the right team to start getting on that track. The Gadabouts are 2 games out of 3rd place in their chapter. They have 4 of their 6 games under 300 points. Yikes. The Legends are 4 games out of their chapter lead and have 7 teams above them with a better record, and 8 teams with a better "all-play" record. Their chance at a playoff spot is dwindling quickly. To make things worse, their lineup this week on offense reads like this: QB Hasselbeck/Smith. RB Goodson/Green ellis/Tanner. WR DHB/lafell/Mike W/ and good TE's......LOL The Gadabouts don't have much better going for them this week but we will literally go to the 8 ball this week and ask it. Straight from ask8ball.net.......

Will the Legends win this week: 8 Ball: DON'T COUNT ON IT... you heard the ball

Clowns (1-5) v Eagles (6-0)

Ughhhhhhhhh. Remember when Lucy keeps holding the ball for Charlie Brown and then pulls it away at the last second to see him fly through the air and land on his back. That's what the Damn Eagles are doing every week to all us Charlie Browns. This week, it's the Charlie Clowns. Even though the Eagles are having to play a somewhat different roster this week, In our opinion, the Charlie Clowns will go running as fast as they can and end up flying through the air, landing on their back. And, looking up at the sky they will lay there dreaming of next season as this one slipped through their fingers in the draft.

Are the Eagles Championship bound? 8 Ball said: MY SOURCES SAY NO..... the ball don't lie, do it?


Empire (2-4) v Destroyers (4-2)

We've all been there. We've been the Empire. The team the one with the highest points allowed, while posting nearly the highest points for in the league. They have that to smile about. And they have the all play record. Despite heading down a road that in most leagues you would be kicking your cat all offseason for not making the playoff, the Empire have hope. Their all play record is 30 games better than the next guy in line. So, despite losing again this week to the Destroyers, the Empire will make the playoffs and might be that ever frightening losing record team that goes to the championship.

Will the Empire get the #6 seed in the playoffs? 8 Ball said: MY SOURCES SAY NO...... Sorry Empire

Cats (5-1) v Slings (2-4)

The Slings are a happier bunch this week, early this week. They are another of these teams that have had a ton of points scored against them. Unlike the Empire though, their point total is weak. In short, they deserved to lose those games. Yes, they will get a win here or there, but their point total last week was a fluke. The highest score they put up before that was 303 and 4 weeks under 300. They get to face a Cats team that has never scored below 300 and, despite a couple of lineup changes, they are at near full strength. You know it, I know it and the Slings know it, welcome back to suckiness in week 7.

Do the Slings suck that bad? 8 Ball Said: DON'T COUNT ON IT.............See there is hope

Legionnares (4-2) v Bombers (1-5)

You've heard it before, the Bombers are bad. But, take a look at their lineup. It doesn't look like a one game winner. The Legionnaires, got away with one this week and with this chapter as close as it is, they are probably thinking they can extend that this week on the hapless Bombers. Don't bet that game there Jon, I see it differently. I like the Bombers this week to bring Justin back to where he belongs in the middle of the tightest chapter in Roster wars.

Can the Legionnares pad their lead? 8 Ball Said: MY SOURCES SAY NO...........See, told you

Killers (2-4) v Demons (5-1)

I'm telling you right now, this is the fluke of all flukes. My worst picks have gone against the Demons. Look at this team. Good? I think not. The reason....the third lowest points allowed in the league. And, it's not due to their defense. This is it, this is the moment in the year where the Demons true colors start to turn yella. The Killers, though they also suck, are going to right their ship and in a sense right the Demon ship to and send them on a losing streak for the ages.

Are the Demons worth a damn? 8 Ball Said: DON"T COUNT ON IT.............Didn't need the ball for that

Africans (3-3) v Eternals 4-2)

Say what you will the about the Eternals pouty face sessions the other week, it worked. Some of you craphole teams should start your own therapy bullshit very soon. The Eternals are creatures of the night. You know can't see yourself in the mirror nonsense. Well speaking of mirrors, that's what this record is. Smoke and mirrors. The Eternal are 3rd in total points scored in DD. FROM THE BOTTOM!!! So what you get is a bad ass lion to come in and tear some stuff up. Africans put on a show this week.

Can the Eternals keep pulling the wool? 8 Ball Said: MY SOURCES SAY NO.........Didn't think so

Headhunters (4-2) v Spongebob Squidpoop (4-2)

After being humiliated by the Clowns 2 weeks ago the Headhunters took care of binness last week to reclaim their rightful standing in Chapter 2. Chaeto is in that boat with some other teams where the chips have fallen their way. They are second only to the (5-1) dragons(more on that later) in points allowed this season. Their good luck could continue but we thinks not. Me hopes not. Squidleroy has already proved enough, considering their outlook as determined by the league back in May. Hang out, slow down and take her easy. Nothing left to prove.

Does the floaty have anything left to prove? 8 Ball Said: CANNOT PREDICT NOW.......Stupid ball

Skins (3-3) v Diggers (3-3)

The Skins have now equaled their steak of wins with a streak of losses. The out of chapter games have not been kind to the Skins as they have dropped all three games. The Diggers can't make up their mind if they want to win or lose. Their record is like this: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss. This, as I am learning from my 4 year old, is a pattern so if we go with the pattern and it works out as it should, I can, with almost as good of betting prowess as Jon, tell you the rest of the Diggers' season. Last 6 weeks go like this: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss. And, low and behold a 6-6 record can be predicted for the Diggers. This is easy.

Will the pattern be proven right? 8 Ball Said: VERY DOUBTFUL...........Damn Ball

Duffers (3-3) v Degenerates (1-5)

The Duffers are in a funk, slowly deteriorating the last couple of weeks. Owning the league low score in week 6, they nearly bested the year low. The degenerates are great on offense. Their demise, however, begins and end with the D. Check this The Vegas defensive started have totaled only 704 points so far. The next closest D is a full 180 points higher than this. That number is held by another 1-5 team in the Clowns. Damn boys you get that straight and you might have something here. Bottom line is Vegas can't hang. Next year will be here before you know it.

Can Vegas beat the odds? 8 Ball Said: ASK AGAIN LATER.......figures

Spazz (2-4) v Dragons (5-1)

You have to love the 3rd chapter. The best team in the league and then 3 guys battling for who can suck the most. Two 2-4 teams and a 1-5. If anyone thinks the Damn Eagles won't end with the best record, remember, he gets to play each of these crap teams AGAIN!!! When the stars align for a team, they really align. I digress. Spazz wins again, good for him. Now the Dragons own the best "points allowed" mark in the conference. Meaning? No one he plays wants to play the week he plays them. Stars align again this week for him as Spazz struggles to put up points. Some guys have it all.

Do the Dragons have it all? 8 Ball Said: THE OUTLOOK IS GOOD........Damn Dragons

Wolves (3-3) v CCS (2-4)

Wolves have no lineup set as of 4:40est. They lose. DAMN WOLVES


RWT ORACLE

Week 7: doomsday diagnosis

SO SORRY FOR BEING SO LATE!!! Completely forgot about it and was very busy the past couple of days.



Haloti Ngata DT Bal owned by Jersey Legionaires and Minnesota Eternals
This bad ass BEAST DT got hurt in a injury melee with a minor MCL tear. Reports say that he should be fine to play week 7 which is a huge boost for fantasy owners.
Final verdict: will play

Jon Beason LB Car owned by Atlanta Africans and Adelaide Empire
Missing week 5 was a bad sign for Beason for things to come. The bye week should have helped a lot and should allow him to play this week. Mr Beason did participate in practice on Monday. Coach Rivera is also deciding who to play at MLB between Beason and Kuechly.
Fianl verdict: will play

Ahyta Rubin DT Cle owned by Jersey Legionaires and Colorado Screaming Eagles
Due to the lack of reports, I can't really find his current status. Rubin did miss week 6 on the Browns first win but right now I don't know what is going on with him.
Final verdict: will update in a couple of days.

Trent Richardson RB Cle owned by New Mexico Mad Clowns and Dectaur Demons
Richardson was once again hurt on the ribs and left the game. Although he did not suffer a fracture, his status his uncertain and is considered to be day to day. Richardson is optimistic that he will play so that is a good sign.
Final verdict: will play

Greg Jennings WR GB owned by Wyoming Headhunters and Minnesota Destroyers
After proving me wrong and missing the game last week, Jennings will probably truly miss more weeks which I didn't buy into. Jennings will probably miss this week too as they want to rest him like the Packers said.
Final verdict: will not play

Jerrell Freeman LB Ind owned by Adelaide Empire and Atlanta Africans
This LB has really produced under the radar this year. He has had double digits every week and 3 of them in the 20's. That is just ridiculous numbers. Freeman might have got a concussion but no reports other that as expected.
Final verdict:?????

Brandon Lloyd WR NE owned by Singapore Slings and Colorado Screaming Eagles
With a close diving catch in the 4th quarter, Lloyd did hurt his shoulder and had to leave the game. They looked at it and he only got a bruised shoulder which means he should play
Final verdict: will play

Jimmy Graham TE NO owned by Jersey Legionaires and Colorado Screaming Eagles
He probably will play :).