Friday, September 28, 2012

Edition 1 (Week 4): Mirror, Mirror on the wall...

Mirror, mirror on the wall...



mirrormirror (20K)


Who is the fairest chapter of them all?


Produced by: Roster Wars Football Reference Inc.

In this column we will examine the fortunes of each of the six RW chapters to demonstrate which is the chapter above all others. Every few weeks (Lance that means 3...) we will take a look at the key player movements, injuries etc. as well as the statistical performance of each chapter and declare a fairest chapter of them all!

Recap: last column's conclusions

N/A

Changing faces: Key player movement etc.

1st Chapter: Romo, McGahee, Boldin, Daniels in. Torrey Smith, Colston, Stafford out

2nd Chapter: Colston, Stafford in. Daniels, Romo out

3rd Chapter: Torrey Smith in. McGahee, Boldin out

4th Chapter: N/A

5th Chapter: Tulloch, Bowe, Bowman in. Holmes, Cobb, Julio Jones out

6th Chapter: Holmes, Cobb, Julio Jones in. Tulloch, Bowe, Bowman out

Despite what Lance is trying to get you to believe IDPs don't matter so I left most of those moves out... ROTFLMAO J/K should have all the big moves. No obvious swings of power to date but Chapter 4 seems pretty complacent given their performance scratch

Deeper reflection: what do the numbers say

Ranking by PF


3rd Chapter 3,880
2nd Chapter 3,848
5th Chapter 3,848
6th Chapter 3,710
4th Chapter 3,661
1st Chapter 3,506

Pretty tight at the top and actually only about a 10% spread from top to bottom. Based on pre-season voting its no surprise to see 1st Chapter down there

Ranking by All Play record


3rd Chapter 58%
2nd Chapter 55%
5th Chapter 55%
6th Chapter 47%
4th Chapter 44%
1st Chapter 40%

Same order as the PF which will probably be the case more often than not as we aggregate the "luck" factor by combining 4 teams per chapter. Will be interesting to see how this trends going forward. Difference for top chapters vs basement dwellers a lot more stark in this view though with 3rd Chapter winning 50% more All plays than 1st Chapter

Examining most 330 or more point performances


1st Chapter 3
2nd Chapter 6
3rd Chapter 5
4th Chapter 3
5th Chapter 5
6th Chapter 3

Since this is a weekly game here we get to see whether its consistency and depth or ceiling thats holding back some of the chapters, for example Chapters 1,4 & 6 have similar high point weeks but varying overall performance.

Examining fewest 260 or less point performances


1st Chapter 4
2nd Chapter 0
3rd Chapter 0
4th Chapter 1
5th Chapter 1
6th Chapter 0

Ouch - stinkers definitely concentrated in Chapter 1 here. vote no

Bottom line it for me

i think its pretty clear that in RW right now we have a case of "the have's and the have nots". Chapters 2,3 & 5 are proving to be the high flyers and if there was a relegation system in place Chapter 1 would be rapidly locking that spot up. Each chapter has at least 1 team that is way off the pace from the other members so changes in chapter rankings most likely will come from the last place franchise turn arounds rather than the giants of the league getting even better... Congratulations to the 3rd Chapter for their early season performance - lets see how they can do now that they are earmarked "as the hunted".
Until next time folks


Still working with the exact format (incl aesthetics) and elements in this one so suggestions welcome!



Reference: for those that haven't memorized the Chapters yet

RW chapters (80K)

No comments:

Post a Comment