Johnny English is back for another week’s gambling. I attempted to get drunk on
last week’s winnings but $5 didn’t go very far so I’ve added a 4th bet this week
in an attempt to boost profits. And for your amusement. Let’s take a look at
this week’s selections:
Week
2
We have a week of proper form in the books to help us
now. The danger is it’s only one week. We don’t really know who came out of the
gates slow last week, who started fast, who played to their potential, who had
an off day. But it’s more to go on than we had last week so we’ll run with
it…
Bet 1 – The Banker Treble
Running totals: Bet $10 / Returns $25 /
P/L +$15
Cardinals @ Patriots – taking the Patriots at odds
of 2/19
Banker bet of the week. Skelton is out and Kolb starts. Kolb looked
good in limited snaps last week but it won’t really matter how well he plays.
The Patriots will be far too good here and win at a canter. Over by
half-time.
Lions @ 49’ers – taking the 49’ers at 10/31
Detroit looked
pretty horrible last week. Stafford was wayward and threw multiple picks in a
game he should have dominated. The Lions may be one of those teams that had an
off day last Sunday as they are clearly dangerous. But I thought San Francisco
were San Fantastic at Green Bay last week. Their all-round game was excellent
and I expect them to see off Stafford and co in a cracking match.
Broncos @ Falcons – taking the Falcons at 4/7
Both winners in week 1.
The Falcons were impressive in Kansas who failed to cope with Atlanta’s air
game. Expect more of the same from Ryan and his receivers. It was great to see
Peyton back, healthy and looking good and you can see the Broncos putting up
points here. I think we will see another high scoring game with the Falcons
winning by a TD or so.
The Patriots, 49’ers and Falcons
all have to win. The suggested bet is $10 returning $22.97 if they
do.
Bet 2 – The Handicap Treble
Running totals: Bet $6 / Returns $0
/ P/L -$6
Ravens (+1) @ Eagles – taking the Ravens at
23/20
I’m sorry. Did you say you are giving me a 1 point start and better
than even odds that the Ravens will win in Philly…? Did you see the Eagles play
last week? I did. They were horrific. And did you see Baltimore dismiss
Cincinnati? They were pretty impressive. The 1 point start is a small bonus
(although it only helps if they draw after OT or Philly win by 1 point) but they
should be giving the Eagles a 3 point start in my opinion.
Chiefs (+3.5)
@ Bills – taking the Chiefs at 5/6
This could be a trap game. Buffalo were
awful and actually made the Jets look like a decent team last week. They’re not.
But they got it together a little later in the game and I was confident they
would do well before the season started. They might bounce back this week though
the loss of Fjax hurts. The Chiefs played well for long stretches in week 1
against a much better team than Buffalo and I think this will be tight. The 3.5
point start tips it to Kansas for me.
Vikings (-1) @ Colts – taking the
Colts at 21/20
Interesting one, this. The Vikes fought hard and picked up a
well deserved week 1 win. AP looked great and Ponder was, well, an NFL
quarterback. But they should have seen off the weak Jaguars much more easily
than they did. Andrew Luck was hit and miss in a tough debut at Soldier Field
and he’ll have learnt a lot about pro football. Both of these defences will
allow yards and points galore and I think the Colts pick up a cosy win in Luck’s
first home start.
The Ravens need to win or draw, as do
the Colts and the Chiefs need to lose by 3 or less, or win. The bet is $5 paying
$40.40 if it hits. Tasty.
Bet 3 – Stabs In
The Dark
Running totals: Bet $4 / Returns $0 / P/L
-$4
Only one game showing TD markets at time of writing so
just the one selection this week. Dunno what the bookies are playing
at…
Saints @ Panthers – first touchdown scorer – $1 on
Cam Newton @ 8/1
With Stewart likely out and DeAngelo looking pants,
if the Panthers get close I can see Newton adding to his multiple running TD’s
from last year. If the Saints haven’t already scored 3 times by
then…
Bet 4 – Total Points Tot-up
Running totals: No bets
yet
The bookies calculate how many points they think both
teams will score in the game. They add them up and set the line there. We have
to predict whether both team’s scores added together will be over or under the
line they set. Simples.
Browns @ Bengals – under 38.5 points @
20/21
If you hadn’t noticed, the Browns suck on offense. Weedon has made them
worse. If he actually finds Greg Little (with a mis-thrown pass, obviously),
Little will drop it anyway. But the Browns look good on D and will give the
Bengals problems. Could well finish about 17-6 to the Bengals. I’m banking on
less than 39 points in the game.
Jets @ Steelers – under 41.5 points @
20/21
Jets suck. I hope they get minus points for sucking. They scored 48
points last week so have used up their points allowance for September. The
Steelers – my team by the way – just look so slow. They take about 8 minutes per
drive. So I see the Steelers getting about 5 scores, 3 of them FG’s. Steelers
win 23-10. Way under 41.5.
Both games need to finish
under the points total to win the bet. I’ve had a $4 double which returns $15.25
if it happens.
Total stake this week is $20 again. Fingers
crossed for another positive week.
Johnny English out.
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